The 95th Academy Awards are here at last and beckon the end of yet another staggeringly long awards season. After three turbulent years at the multiplex, dare we say it, this year feels like business as usual may well be back in action.
With a hearty eleven nods to its name, Everything Everywhere All at Once is a hot (dog) favourite to win everything, everywhere all at once – or, rather, over three hours – but has major competition from BAFTA favourites All Quiet on the Western Front and The Banshees of Inisherin.
Only time can tell as to who will actually come out on top but there’s always fun to be had in the pre-match guessing game…
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
There’s no doubting where the momentum stands with this one. Everything Everywhere All at Once has already bagged the PGA, DGA and SAG and looks all but nailed on to add the Oscar. Only the BAFTA-winning All Quiet on the Western Front presents a likely upset. Let’s not forget that Erich Maria Remarque’s 1929 novel has previous, with Lewis Milestone’s inaugural adaptation winning the top gong way back at the 3rd Academy Awards. Can lightening strike twice?
Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans
Todd Field – Tár
Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness
Two for two? Wouldn’t bet against it. The Daniels surely have this in the bag. Who saw that coming off the back of Swiss Army Man?
Actor in a Leading Role
Austin Butler – Elvis
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Paul Mescal – Aftersun
Bill Nighy – Living
What a joy to see Nighy and Mescal on this prestigious list. Each would make for a worthy winner. Common parlance has it that Fraser’s dream comeback is the favourite for Best Actor. We reckon that Butler – who snagged the Golden Globe – might just steal it from beneath him.
Actress in a Leading Role
Ana de Armas – Blonde
Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie
Cate Blanchett – Tár
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
This year’s most controversial category is a two horse race. Until Yeoh took the SAG, Blanchett looked a dead cert. We’re still backing the latter as the likely winner but boy are we plugging for the former.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau – The Whale
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Hm. There’s a lot of love out there for Bassett but whether doing ‘the thing’ will cut it for the Academy remains to be seen. Marvel have yet to win an Oscar and this is surely their best shot. Kerry Condon would be our pick but, really, we think it’ll be Curtis that walks away smiling.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway
Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once
There’s not a name on this list not worthy of an Oscar but it’s not without reason that commentators are calling Supporting Actor the night’s only dead cert. Ke Huy Quan is the people’s favourite and who are we to disagree.
Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin – Martin McDonagh
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans – Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner
Tár – Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness – Ruben Östlund
There’s no more original screenplay on this list than the Daniels’ but we’re rooting for the minefield of meaning that was McDonagh’s Banshees for the win. The Academy don’t like to see a worthy contestant go away empty handed after all.
Best Adapted Screenplay
All Quiet on the Western Front – Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson and Ian Stockell
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Rian Johnson
Living – Kazuo Ishiguro
Top Gun: Maverick – Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie
Women Talking – Sarah Polley
While we don’t think All Quiet on the Western Front will come out on top in the race for Best Picture, it’s our favourite for Adapted Screenplay.
Best Animated Feature Film
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
The Sea Beast
In the same year Disney’s Pinocchio was a downright flop, Del Toro proved there was life in the little wooden boy yet. A sure winner.
Best International Feature Film
All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
The Quiet Girl (Ireland)
A Best Picture nod should never be seen as an automatic precursor for success in the International category but it seems a fair gamble here.
Best of the Rest…
Best Documentary Feature: Navalny
Best Documentary Short Subject: The Elephant Whisperers
Best Live Action Short Film: La Pupille
Best Animated Short Film: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
Best Original Score: All Quiet on the Western Front – Volker Bertlemann
Best Original Song: ‘Naatu Naatu’ – RRR
Best Sound: Top Gun: Maverick
Best Production Design: Babylon
Best Cinematography: All Quiet on the Western Front – James Friend
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Whale – Adrien Morot, Judy Chin, and Anne Marie Bradley
Best Costume Design: Elvis – Catherine Martin
Best Film Editing: Everything Everywhere All at Once – Paul Rogers
Best Visual Effects: Avatar: The Way of Water
Who are you backing tonight? Let us know in the comments…